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On the Strength of Trend and Seasonality
The strength of the trend and the strength of seasonality are two crucial indicators that help in understanding the significance of trend...
arsabacusbusiness
Jul 10, 20242 min read


Diesel Fuel and Its Prices
Let's take a look at diesel fuel prices. An overview of the data is presented in the figure below. Analysis of Price Behavior tells us...
arsabacusbusiness
Jul 5, 20241 min read


Petrol: Practical Application
Let us not delve too deeply into purely theoretical conclusions and instead attempt to translate the findings of the previous post into...
arsabacusbusiness
Jul 2, 20241 min read


Petrol Prices.
hat does the future hold for us? It would be beneficial to know, so let us begin with gasoline prices. The general view of the data is...
arsabacusbusiness
Jul 2, 20241 min read


Hotdogs. End of story.
It seems our IT specialist has done an excellent job by applying a mathematical model to optimize the profit from selling hot dogs. Using...
arsabacusbusiness
Jun 28, 20241 min read


The Enigma hotdogs (II)
Why did we include advertising expenses squared in the second model? Clearly, the quality of the model is determined by the behavior of...
arsabacusbusiness
Jun 26, 20241 min read


Enigma hotdogs.
Our IT specialist, still selling hot dogs and analyzing sales, didn't stop there. He was advised to invest in advertising and observe the...
arsabacusbusiness
Jun 23, 20242 min read


Something about hotdogs...
Life unfolds in unpredictable ways... It's hard to say what you'll be doing tomorrow. So, the guy (an IT specialist) found himself...
arsabacusbusiness
Jun 21, 20242 min read


"Well, not all victories at once"
"Well, not all victories at once" (Pekhov V. "Under the Sign of the Manticore"), referring to the previous note. It is clear that we need...
arsabacusbusiness
Jun 20, 20241 min read


Untitled ...
Continuing from the previous note under the motto "don't believe your eyes," the figure displays the spread of the BIT and ETH series...
arsabacusbusiness
Jun 20, 20241 min read


Cointegrating combination
In the previous post, it was established that the number of cointegrating vectors is at least two. Therefore, we must consider pairwise...
arsabacusbusiness
Jun 20, 20241 min read
Cointegrating
Continuing from the previous note, it turns out that neither Bitcoin (blue) nor NVDA (yellow) have a significant impact. Let us introduce...
arsabacusbusiness
Jun 20, 20241 min read


Forecasting NVDA.
A forecast for the NVDA time series has been presented. The series is clearly non-stationary, showing a trend with consistent growth,...
arsabacusbusiness
Jun 20, 20241 min read
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